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Showing posts with label Statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Statistics. Show all posts

The Old Batsman: Outside, Looking In...

by Bored Guest

As Rahul Dravid was adding the last few of his 12, 314 Test match runs over in West Indies, it was interesting to watch the volume of ‘advice’ from Indian fans that came streaming through the Twitter feed.

If you’d never seen Dravid bat and instead formed an opinion of him from these screams from cyberspace, you might have pictured a timid schoolboy who’d been dragged unwillingly to the crease, where he was now cowering somewhere between the stumps and square leg bent only on surviving the remorseless onslaught of Darren Sammy, rather than the imposing, infinitely skilled player that he is.

We never see ourselves as the rest of the world does. From the outside though - which is all I can write about – the Indian team looks much like Rahul Dravid must if you’re a bowler who’s been trying to get him out for six hours under unrelenting sun on a wicket that bounces about as high as a dead cat thrown into a swimming pool: a vast and sometimes unscaleable wall that will resist you forever.

It’s all about perspective: Rahul Dravid has scored 3,414 more Test runs than any Englishman who has ever played the game. And Dravid is not even the highest scorer in the team. Sachin Tendulkar has made 5,792 more runs than any English player ever. Of the current England side, only Andrew Strauss and Kevin Pietersen have scored more than 5,792 Test runs.

Virender Sehwag has made 22 Test match hundreds. That puts him level with Boycott and Hammond, who hold England’s record. Dravid has ten more. Sachin has more than Boycott and Hammond put together. No current England player yet has 20.

Then there’s the other stuff. Harbhajan Singh has more Test wickets than any bowler currently playing. His 404 puts him 21 ahead of Ian Botham, whose England record has stood since 1992, but still leave him more than 200 wickets adrift of India’s best-ever, Anil Kumble. Zaheer Khan’s 271 mean he starts the series with 52 more wickets than Jimmy Anderson, who is by a distance England’s current leading wicket-taker.

India arrive with all of this weight, this statistical heft, behind them. It means as much as you want it to, of course, and England can counter with the ICC rankings of Swann and Anderson, and the remarkable Test match average of Jonathan Trott, which at 62.23 makes him either six runs an innings better than Sachin or the next Mike Hussey depending on your view.  

The point is that, from the outside, this Indian side is a monolithic thing, containing players whose greatness cannot be denied. They have their foibles because they are human beings, but they represent an era of cricket that will be looked on as a golden age: something that England cannot say they’ve had for a while. 

by
The Old Batsman

The Old Batsman is an English cricket blogger – www.theoldbatsman.blogspot.com

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Perception is Reality...NOT

by Mahek

Another batting collapse, another final lost. Some things never change. Neither do perceptions. Ever since Suresh Raina was bounced out at the Twenty20 World Cup he has been said to have found out. So much so that the experts seem to think Raina comes in a Buy One Get One Free deal with Nohit Sharma. So when Raina did his best to bail out his team with a back to the wall hundred, this is what cricinfo had to say,

"Nothing has gone right for Raina ever since the Twenty20 World Cup when he was grounded by the bouncers. Word caught on and even domestic bowlers started to serve the short stuff. Humiliation was at his door step. Raina went for advice to the likes of Rahul Dravid, sought out Gary Kirsten, faced throw-downs, faced balls blasted from tennis racquets, but it is not an ailment that vanishes overnight."

Notice how the enlightened souls at cricinfo haven't provided any evidence to suggest Raina getting found out. Well, lucky for you someone decided to check up on how the batsman has performed during the said period.

Let's see...an average of 45.75, strike rate of 96.99, five scores of fifty or more in sixteen innings. Tendulkar, Dhoni and Kohli are his only teammates who average higher during this period, and they all do it at a lower strike rate. In terms of consistency, only Dhoni and Kohli have a lower innings to fifty ratio.

Moving on to his middle order peers (Batting between number 4 and 7) in world cricket, Dhoni, Mahmudullah, Collingwood and Brendan Taylor are the only ones with a higher average than Raina. Again, none of them have scored as quickly as him.

Now, one can make arguments about the flat pitches he's batted on but his teammates batted on those same pitches. More importantly, all the evidence points to India finding a reliable and devastating batsman in the middle order and not to someone who is a sitting duck. But pointing it out isn't going to get people to read or talk, is it? So let's just continue the myth that Raina hasn't been cutting it since he was "found out".

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Why Tendulkar shouldn't open with Sehwag

by Mahek

Experts have talked at length about how Sehwag and Gambhir bat well with each other. Their numbers certainly point to the same and make a great case for them to be opening the innings. Obviously it wasn't going to happen tonight as Gambhir was ruled unfit. But we saw India get off to a great start with Sehwag blazing away at one end. But even when he was batting with a strike rate of over 200 - a good five times better than his partner's strike rate - he faced less than half the deliveries in the innings. One has to wonder how often this would happen if the Delhi duo were batting together. Tendulkar is still at the crease and there's every chance he will go on to score some good runs (Well he just got out and it's game on now), but I can't help but feel he needs to ensure Sehwag doesn't get cold standing at the non-striker's end.

I've come up with a measure to quantify the effectiveness with which batsmen share the strike in a partnership. It's as uncomplicated as Sehwag's batting and anyone with a passing knowledge of cricket can understand it. Based on that measure, the Sehwag-Tendulkar partnership tonight operated at an efficiency of 19.89%, meaning Sehwag got less than a fifth of the strike he should have got in that partnership. The numbers for their partnership in the first three ODIs: 24.8%, 75.5%, 60%.

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Why Stats shouldn't be Worse than Lies and Damned Lies.

by Bored Guest

Cricket is a sport for those obsessed with numbers. A debate about the greatness of players invariably ends up as a comparison between their numbers. Fans then get into details such as the team a player was on, the era he played in, his matchwinning ability, overseas performance, and a lot more. So while Murali shouldered the bulk of Lanka’s bowling duties, Warne had the likes of McGrath, Gillespie and Lee to soften up the opposition. While Lara and Tendulkar scored their runs in the era of Ambrose, Waqar and Donald, Ponting has made merry in the golden era of batting. Tendulkar might have the most hundreds but Inzamam was a better “matchwinner” since he performed a lot better in matches Pakistan won.

I could go on with such examples but I won’t. The point I’m making is, and such debates reveal it quite well, for every such argument there could be a counter argument. But there are certain aspects of batting and bowling that will always remain important. Here’s a look at them.

In an ideal world, you would like a batsman who makes big scores and does it fast. He doesn’t get stuck at one end if his partner is going well, and can also dispatch the ball to or over the boundary. In statistical terms, he should have a high average and strike rate, shouldn’t play out a lot of dot balls, and should hit a lot of fours and/or sixes. Similarly for bowlers, they should have a low strike rate and economy rate (consequently a low average), should be able to tie an end up by bowling maiden after maiden, and should restrict the number of boundaries off his bowling.

Now anyone who has used the statsguru function on cricinfo will be able to pull up the averages and strike rates for any player. But is that really enough to judge how good a player is? Don’t we need to dig deeper to find out how a player is scoring his runs, or how good a bowler is in building pressure or bowling at the death?

Baseball is the sport that comes closest to cricket in the way it’s played. It’s also similar in that statistics are considered sacred in that game. It took baseball pundits decades to realize the statistics they were working with were incomplete and they needed to dig deeper into the numbers to evaluate players. Cricket is well and truly into the era of Twenty20 and maybe it’s time the powers that be realized the need to modernize cricket statistics.

by Mahek
You can read more of Mahek at his blog Confessions of a Forced Spectator

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Who needs a kick on the butt?

by Bored Member

by Raja Baradwaj

With the Irani Trophy slated for tomorrow and the selection for the Australia Test series to follow, we would have a busy week ahead. All we bored cricket fans would be busy arguing, justifying and as usual accusing & abusing the wise men and their marshal.

To lead us into the debate here are some numbers and also a few pointers, my interpretation of what these numbers mean. To start, these numbers are from cricinfo.

What do we see here?
1. These are statistics taken from the last 25 test matches these guys have played
2. It becomes the last 23 test matches for Yuvraj and the last 21 for Dinesh Kartick
3. We can see the Runs scored, the number of completed innings played for scoring the runs (not outs and didn't bat not included)
4. Also there are the average number of runs scored – In total, in the first innings and in the second innings
5. Another assumption here is that Sachin would be ready and fit for selection by the time the wise men sit


What do the numbers say?
1. If at all someone from the middle order needs to go, it looks like Tendulkar, he has the leanest scorecard at present. And also a very poor second innings track record
2. Kumble scores more runs in his first innings than what Tendulkar makes in his second
3. No difference between the two wicketkeepers analyzed. The max difference we see is that one is called DHONI!!
4. We have a solution for Yuvraj, to be part of the test team. Go learn to keep wickets in tests. Otherwise his average seems lots better when you compare it to the two wicketkeepers. That seems to be the only way he can force his way into the test team.
5. Tendulkar should be given special permission to bat only in the first innings. Kumble could bat for him in the second, he would score more because that innings would be his first and his first innings average is better than Sachin's second
6. We should get the rules changed a bit to play 2 wicketkeepers in a match. Dinesh Kartick should be played in the first and Dhoni should play the second innings
7. Ganguly should be in the team, the numbers say that he is the best middle order batsman we have at present

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